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Margin at risk on one project

A single cost estimate does not show how bad it can get. Enter a project and see its expected margin, a bad but realistic outcome (p90) and the chance it ends in a loss.

How far the cost to finish could swing. Fixed-price work with creeping scope is often 30–60%.

Your project

Expected margin

$40,000

16% of value

Chance of a loss

12%

finishes below zero margin

Final cost, bad case (p90)

$268,000

Margin, bad case (p90)

−$18,000

safe marginat riskloss tail

Margin is contract value minus cost so far minus cost to finish. What you type stays in your browser.

If one of your projects looks like this

We build project margin systems that warn you early. If you want proof first, start with a short audit.

  1. Do it for your whole portfolio
  2. See a full sample audit

The full version

It runs on all your projects at once, with your real costs and limits, and tells you which one to look at first. Talk to Jiri or Ivo about it. Talking to us costs nothing.